OPINION: This article contains commentary which reflects the author’s opinion
Foreign policy experts are warning that China has intentions to take advantage of President Joe Biden’s show of weakness following the disastrous pullout of US troops from Afghanistan, which is ongoing.
As Biden faces increasing criticism for ineptitude, China is eyeing an “opportunity to further their bid to destabilize US alliances, not just in the Indo-Pacific but in the Middle East,” Fox News reported on Thursday citing a foreign policy analyst from the Hudson Institute.
Speaking to Fox News, Eric Brown, a senior fellow specializing in Asian and Middle East affairs at the institute, said that China is going to use America’s diminished reputation and the “perception of American unreliability – thanks to the messy and disgraceful withdrawal – to press its influence.”
“It’s going to try and take advantage of this situation,” he said.
The analysis comes in the wake of China’s latest military drills near Taiwan on Tuesday.
Chinese state media said that the assault drills were conducted in response to “interference from external forces” meaning the United States, a key ally of the sovereign island nation.
The United States remains the country’s most important international supporter and weapons supplier — against China’s wishes.
CNBC reported that China is attempting to portray the US as a “weak and unreliable” power that can’t be counted on by its allies, whom Biden abandoned in Afghanistan.
The Chinese Communist Party has sought to draw Taiwan, which hit views as a breakaway province under its “One China” policy, into its fold through threats and intimidation.
In an editorial published on Chinese state-run media outlet Global Times, the editors blamed the collapse of the Afghan government on the withdrawal of US forces and suggested that the US would not be able to defend Taiwan in the event of a Chinese invasion.
The article promised that Taiwan would see the same “fate” as Afghanistan. The paper described the unfolding disaster as a “US humiliation” that showed how the US “cannot win a war anymore.”
“U.S. just showed the world that it’s unable or unwilling to confront a small adversary in Afghanistan with very basic weapons,” the Global Times stated in a Wednesday tweet. “So in the future, when it urges its allies to challenge major powers like China and Russia, very few would follow.”
“So you look at this exercise, you put it in the context of the Chinese allowing state media to issue reports basically saying that the U.S. would abandon Taiwan just as fast as it would abandon Afghanistan,” Baker said on CNBC’s Squawk Box Asia on Wednesday.
“It is in the Chinese government’s interests to try and convince Americans that China is going to press ahead on Taiwan,” said Zack Cooper, a senior fellow of the American Enterprise Institute, to Fox News.
“I think we have to avoid falling for some of that Chinese propaganda,” he said. “There’s a reason that China today is not invading Taiwan, and that’s because they are concerned about their ability to carry off invasion at an acceptable cost, and I don’t think what’s happened in Afghanistan fundamentally changes that decision.”
Cooper warned that despite the fact that it hasn’t invaded Taiwan, China has its eyes on Afghanistan itself, which provides the nation with “real opportunities.”
“China has been very deeply engaged with Pakistan through the Belt and Road initiative,” he said. “And I think we’ll see the possibility of more Belt and Road investment into Afghanistan.” The Belt and Road scheme is a Chinese-led global economic platform that connects the country all the way to Europe and Africa, including high speed rail and trade deals.
Pakistan has likewise made a deal with China to be a part of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor to enable cheap and efficient trade between the two countries through a modernization of ports and transportation networks.
The Taliban, which receives backing from Pakistan, met with China in July well after insurgents began their conquest of Afghanistan.
Cooper said that China “understood the direction that things were likely to go in Afghanistan.”
“I think that is a clear sign that the Chinese were trying to lean pretty far forward in terms of engaging the Taliban,” he said. “They’re trying to make sure that they can have as much influence there as possible.”
The Hudson Institute’s Eric Brown believes that China will exert its influence in Afghanistan without delving too deeply into their internal politics, if only to bolster the Belt and Road Initiative.
“They have a far more limited idea of what it is that they want to achieve there, and that’s to keep Afghanistan from potentially affecting its…larger security of its Belt and Road continental empire,” he said to Fox News.
Of course, none of this would even be possible if Biden hadn’t relinquished American influence in the region through the disastrous pullout effort.
Article Source : Conservativebrief.com